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中国领导人习近平正计划访问莫斯科,与俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔-普京举行峰会。
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普京目前正处于乌克兰战争中,并将自己塑造成一个反对美国领导的全球秩序的领导人。
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北京希望在结束冲突方面发挥更积极的作用,习近平的行程将是推动多方和平谈判的一部分。
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中国将重申其关于在峰会期间不使用核武器的呼吁。
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西方国家的首都对中国的外交倡议表示怀疑。
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中国外交官王毅上周在慕尼黑安全会议上预告了这项外交倡议。
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习近平和普京的峰会可能是两位领导人之间的首次面对面会谈。
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中国希望利用这次峰会向世界发出一个信息,即中国是一个全球大国。
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峰会也是中国展示自己作为乌克兰冲突调解人的一个机会。
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中国国家主席习近平正计划在4月或5月初访问俄罗斯。
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这次访问将与俄罗斯庆祝其二战胜利的活动同时进行。
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中国外交部长王毅将于周二访问莫斯科,并讨论这一访问计划。
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俄罗斯自2014年以来一直与乌克兰发生战争,导致数万人死亡,数百万人流离失所,并对能源市场和全球经济产生了冲击。
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王毅周二对莫斯科的访问还将包括讨论中俄关系和 “共同关心的国际和地区热点问题”。
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中国外交部预计将在本周发布一份关于乌克兰的立场文件,时间为俄罗斯入侵一周年。乌克兰外交部长Dmytro Kuleba已经听取了中国计划的关键内容,并正在等待全文,然后得出结论。转向更中立的立场将代表北京的一个重大变化,自从他们在冬奥会上发表联合声明以来,他们一直向俄罗斯提供外交和经济支持。
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中国已经购买了俄罗斯的石油和天然气,并出售了具有军事用途的微芯片和其他先进技术。预计领土完整原则将是中国立场文件的一个基石。Dmytro Kuleba警告说,任何帮助俄罗斯破坏乌克兰领土完整的国家都将发出一个明确的信息,任何人都可以在世界地图上的任何其他特定情况下做同样的事情。
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中国和俄罗斯有着密切的关系,他们在冬奥会上发表的联合声明就证明了这一点。这份声明挑战了美国主导的世界秩序,并宣布了 "无限制 "的友谊。中国关于乌克兰的立场文件将是两国关系未来的一个重要指标,并将使人们深入了解北京对冲突的立场。
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北京采取了新的公开立场,以应对西方世界对中国日益增长的不信任以及围绕安全和技术形成的地缘政治集团。
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中国还担心,如果俄罗斯在乌克兰面临进一步的挫折或失败,它这个重要的合作伙伴可能会被削弱。
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美国一直在就其在乌克兰问题上的立场向中国施加越来越大的压力,美国国务卿安东尼-布林肯警告中国不要向俄罗斯提供武器。
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中国外交部回应说,美国才是为战争提供武器的国家。
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美国副总统卡马拉-哈里斯警告说,中国在乌克兰增加对俄罗斯的支持,只会 “继续杀戮,并进一步破坏基于规则的秩序”。
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西方官员对中国外交部长王毅的和平计划作出了怀疑的反应。北约秘书长延斯-斯托尔滕贝格称其 “相当模糊”,并指出中国还没有决定谴责俄罗斯对乌克兰的攻击。包括法国总统埃马纽埃尔-马克龙在内的欧洲官员对中国在冲突的外交解决中发挥作用表示兴趣。
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王毅上周在巴黎会见马克龙后,法国总统府表示,两人 “表达了根据国际法促进和平的相同目标”。然而,西方对中国对俄罗斯的支持越来越担心,包括担心北京可能准备向莫斯科提供致命的武器。
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欧洲希望中国为冲突的外交途径做出贡献,但这些担忧与非洲、拉丁美洲和其他地区的国家要求重新提出和平倡议以试图扭转能源和食品价格上涨对世界其他地区的经济溢出效应的压力相抵触。
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中国正试图提高其影响力,在乌克兰发挥更明显的作用。中国官员承认,在实现外交突破方面会有障碍,可能需要对俄罗斯施加压力,而中国政府对此犹豫不决。
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中国充当全球和平缔造者的最雄心勃勃的努力是在21世纪初,当时它发起了六方会谈,以遏制朝鲜的核武器计划来换取援助,但在2008年失败。习近平的努力将考验他与普京的关系,并可能损害他与欧洲国家的关系。
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乌克兰在欧洲大陆最坚定的支持者对中国提出的塑造潜在和平谈判的提议反应冷淡,他们认为北京是俄罗斯领土利益的倡导者。捷克外交部长Jan Lipavský支持乌克兰总统Volodymyr Zelensky提出的计划。
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Chinese leader Xi Jinping is planning to visit Moscow for a summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
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Putin is currently at war in Ukraine and is portraying himself as a leader against the US-led global order.
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Beijing wants to play a more active role in ending the conflict and Xi’s trip would be part of a push for multiparty peace talks.
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China would reiterate its call that nuclear weapons not be used during the summit.
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Western capitals have expressed skepticism about China’s diplomatic initiative.
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Chinese diplomat Wang Yi previewed the diplomatic initiative at the Munich Security Conference last week.
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The summit between Xi and Putin will likely be the first face-to-face meeting between the two leaders.
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China wants to use the summit to send a message to the world that it is a major global power.
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The summit is also an opportunity for China to present itself as a mediator in the Ukraine conflict.
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Chinese president Xi Jinping is planning to visit Russia in either April or early May.
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This visit will coincide with Russia’s celebration of their victory in World War II.
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Chinese Foreign Minister Wang will visit Moscow on Tuesday and discuss the planned visit.
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Russia has been at war with Ukraine since 2014, resulting in tens of thousands of deaths, displacement of millions of people, and shockwaves through energy markets and the global economy.
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Wang’s visit to Moscow on Tuesday will also include discussing China-Russia relations and “international and regional hot-spot issues of shared interest.”
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China’s Foreign Ministry is expected to release a position paper on Ukraine this week, timed to the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba has heard key elements of China’s plan, and is waiting for the full text before drawing conclusions. A shift towards a more neutral stance would represent a significant change for Beijing, who have provided diplomatic and economic support to Russia since their joint statement at the Winter Olympics.
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China has bought up Russian oil and gas and sold microchips and other advanced technologies that have military uses. It is expected that the principle of territorial integrity will be a cornerstone of China’s position paper. Dmytro Kuleba has warned that any country which helps Russia to destroy the territorial integrity of Ukraine will send a clear message that anyone can do the same in any other specific situation on the world map.
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China and Russia have a close relationship, demonstrated by the joint statement they issued at the Winter Olympics. This statement challenged the U.S.-led world order and declared a “no limits” friendship. China’s position paper on Ukraine will be a significant indicator of the future of their relationship, and will provide insight into Beijing’s stance on the conflict.
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Beijing has taken a new public stance in response to growing distrust of China in the Western world and the formation of geopolitical blocs around security and technology.
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China is also concerned about the potential weakening of Russia, a key partner, if it were to face further setbacks or defeat in Ukraine.
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U.S. has been increasing pressure on China over its stance on Ukraine, with Secretary of State Antony Blinken warning against China providing arms to Russia.
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China’s Foreign Ministry responded that the U.S. is the country that has been supplying weapons for the war.
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U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris warned that increased Chinese support for Russia in Ukraine would only serve to “continue the killing, and further undermine a rules-based order.”
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Western officials reacted with skepticism to Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s peace plan. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg called it “quite vague” and noted that China hasn’t decided to condemn Russia’s attack on Ukraine. European officials, including French President Emmanuel Macron, have expressed interest in China playing a part in a diplomatic solution to the conflict.
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After Wang met with Macron in Paris last week, the French presidency said that both men “expressed the same objective of contributing to peace in accordance with international law.” However, there are growing Western concerns about China’s support for Russia, including fears that Beijing may be prepared to supply lethal weapons to Moscow.
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European hopes for a Chinese contribution to a diplomatic off-ramp to the conflict are running up against these worries, as well as pressure from countries in Africa, Latin America and elsewhere for a renewed peace initiative to try to reverse the economic spillovers of higher energy and food prices on the rest of the world.
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China is attempting to increase its influence and play a more visible role in Ukraine. Chinese officials acknowledge that there will be obstacles in achieving a diplomatic breakthrough, and may require pressure on Russia, which Beijing is hesitant to do.
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China’s most ambitious effort to serve as global peacemaker came in the early 2000s when it launched six-party talks to curtail North Korea’s nuclear weapons program in exchange for aid, which failed in 2008. Xi’s efforts will test his relationship with Putin and may damage his relationship with European nations.
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China’s offer to shape potential peace talks is met with a cool reception among Ukraine’s most stalwart backers on the continent, who view Beijing as an advocate for Russia’s territorial gains. Jan Lipavský, Czech foreign minister, supports the plan put forward by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
链接:China’s Xi Jinping Plans Russia Visit as Putin Wages War in Ukraine - WSJ