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中国最高外交官王毅本周访问了莫斯科,强调了这两个大国的亲密关系。北京对俄罗斯总统普京邀请中国领导人习近平今年春天访问一事一直保持沉默,但两人将在年中会面。中国继续明确表示,它与俄罗斯的关系很重要。
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关于这种关系的力量的宏大言辞以及美国关于北京正在考虑提升其对莫斯科的军事支持质量的断言,都掩盖了中国和俄罗斯处于非常不同轨道的日常现实。外交部副部长马朝旭表示,中国愿意与俄罗斯合作,落实两国元首达成的重要共识。
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在这一年里,我们将继续听到对两国友谊的肯定,这将反映在军事演习中,也会越来越多地与其他国家举行军事演习。
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中国和俄罗斯的船只目前正在夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省沿海进行为期10天的海军演习。两国经常在日本、韩国和伊朗领空附近进行联合演习。
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美国国务卿安东尼-布林肯声称中国支持俄罗斯的战争努力,但几乎没有证据表明这两个国家确实在进行任何有意义的合作。例如,尽管俄罗斯在非洲有军队和雇佣兵,但中国商人仍然被武装团体绑架。
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在塔吉克斯坦,莫斯科和北京都在阿富汗边境附近设有军事哨所,但他们并不合作,俄罗斯人抱怨说那里的中国人甚至不与他们沟通。
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俄罗斯和中国的双边贸易有所上升,在2022年达到1900亿美元。
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俄罗斯外交部正在寻求将 "一带一路 "倡议与俄罗斯主导的欧亚经济联盟协调起来。
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中央银行家们已经从西方货币转向人民币。
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贸易量的增长大部分来自于原油和煤炭销售的折扣。
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中国公司对保持采购量和保护自己不受制裁表示担忧。
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俄罗斯科技市场的主要参与者,如联想、小米和华为,已经缩减了业务或退出了市场。
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维萨卡、美国运通卡和万事达卡的信用卡在俄罗斯已无法使用,中国银联卡也无法使用。
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中国产品越来越多地出现在俄罗斯,但往往是间接到达,提高了消费者的成本。
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随着横跨阿穆尔河的两座新桥的开通,不受制裁的货物贸易可能会增加。
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俄罗斯对中国的依赖性正在增加。
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用美元换取人民币,俄罗斯中央银行将自己束缚在一个由中国共产党控制的货币上,对其需求负责。
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向中国的渗透开放俄罗斯的市场将削弱国内经济,使当地竞争者更难生存。
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尽管经常表现出亲近感,但中俄伙伴关系有明显的限制。
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China’s top diplomat Wang Yi visited Moscow this week, highlighting the closeness of the two powers. Beijing has been coy about the invitation extended by Russian President Vladimir Putin for Chinese leader Xi Jinping to visit this spring, but the two are due to meet midyear. China has continued to make it clear that its relationship with Russia is important.
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Grand rhetoric about the strength of the relationship and revived U.S. assertions that Beijing is considering upgrading the quality of its military support to Moscow are overshadowing the day-to-day reality that China and Russia are on very different tracks. Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu said China is willing to work with Russia to implement the important consensus reached by the two heads of state.
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Throughout the year we will continue to hear affirmations of the two nations’ friendship, which will be reflected in military exercises, increasingly held with other nations as well.
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Chinese and Russian vessels are currently engaged in a 10-day naval exercise off the coast of KwaZulu-Natal province. The two countries have regularly conducted joint exercises near Japanese, South Korean, and Iranian airspace.
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U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has claimed Chinese support for Russian war efforts, but there is little evidence to suggest that the two countries are actually cooperating in any meaningful way. For example, Chinese businessmen are still being kidnapped by militant groups despite the presence of Russian troops and mercenaries in Africa.
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In Tajikistan, both Moscow and Beijing have military posts near the Afghan frontier, but they do not work together and the Russians have complained that the Chinese there do not even communicate with them.
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Russia and China have experienced a rise in bilateral trade, reaching $190 billion in 2022.
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The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs is looking to harmonize the Belt and Road Initiative with the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union.
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Central bankers have shifted away from Western currencies to the yuan.
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Much of the growth in trade volumes came from discounted crude oil and coal sales.
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Chinese companies are expressing concern about keeping up purchases and protecting themselves from sanctions.
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Major players in the Russian tech market such as Lenovo, Xiaomi, and Huawei have scaled back operations or withdrew from the market.
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Visa, American Express, and Mastercard credit cards no longer work in Russia, and Chinese UnionPay cards also do not function.
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Chinese products are increasingly present in Russia, but often arrive indirectly, raising costs for consumers.
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Trade in non-sanctioned goods is likely to increase with the opening of two new bridges across the Amur River.
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Russia’s dependence on China is increasing.
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Trading the dollar for the yuan, the Russian central bank is binding itself to a currency controlled by the Chinese Communist Party, answerable to its needs.
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Opening Russia’s markets to Chinese penetration will emasculate the domestic economy, making it harder for local competitors to survive.
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Despite frequent demonstrations of affection, there are distinct limits to the China-Russia partnership.
链接:China's embrace of Russia is mostly for show - Nikkei Asia