Inflation (6do encyclopedia)230510



Inflation is an economic phenomenon characterized by a sustained and general increase in the cost of goods and services over a given period. It is usually caused by a variety of factors, including monetary policies, fiscal policies, supply chain disruptions, changes in market demand and supply, and shifts in population demographics. Inflation can seriously affect the economy by reducing the purchasing power of a currency and decreasing the standard of living of its population.

Monetary inflation is caused by policies pursued by central banks, which control the money supply in an economy. When a central bank increases the money supply, it typically devalues a currency, which leads to an increase in prices. This occurs because there is an excess of money in circulation and consumers are willing to pay more for goods and services. Central banks typically increase the money supply by lowering interest rates, making it easier for banks and other financial institutions to borrow money and increasing the amount of money circulating in the economy.

Fiscal policies can also contribute to inflation. Governments can initiate economic stimulus programs that increase government spending, which puts more money in the hands of consumers. This can result in higher prices, as businesses try to capitalize on the resulting increase in demand.

In addition, supply chain disruptions can lead to price increases. When supply chains are disrupted due to natural disasters, political upheaval, or other factors, prices can rise as consumers compete for scarce goods. This can be seen in the case of oil shortages, where the sudden disruption of supply can lead to a rapid increase in gasoline prices.

Market demand and supply can also affect inflation. When demand for a particular good or service is high, prices will naturally rise. Conversely, when supply is low, prices will also rise. For example, a housing shortage can lead to higher rents and home prices.

Demographic changes can also lead to inflation. An aging population can put pressure on healthcare and other services, leading to price increases. This demographic shift can also lead to labor shortages in certain industries, such as healthcare, which can further drive up prices.

Inflation can have significant negative effects on an economy. When prices rise, consumers struggle to afford the same goods and services they were previously able to purchase. This can lead to decreased consumer confidence and a drop in spending, ultimately leading to a decrease in economic activity. Inflation can also lead to wage increases, which in turn can lead to higher prices, leading to a vicious cycle of rising prices and wages.

However, moderate inflation can also have positive effects on an economy. It can encourage investment and stimulate economic growth as businesses and consumers seek to take advantage of higher prices. It can also make it easier for countries to pay off debt, as the value of the currency decreases over time.

Inflation is typically measured through the use of inflation indices, which track the change in prices over time. The most widely used index is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the average change in prices of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by households. Other indices include the Producer Price Index (PPI), which tracks the change in prices of goods produced by domestic producers, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) deflator, which measures the change in prices of all goods and services produced within a country.

Efforts to control inflation typically involve a combination of monetary and fiscal policies. Central banks can raise interest rates or reduce the money supply to counteract inflation. Governments can also institute policies like tax increases or spending cuts to reduce the amount of money in circulation and limit inflation.

In conclusion, inflation is a complex economic phenomenon with a range of causes and effects. While moderate inflation can be beneficial to an economy, sustained high inflation can have significant negative impacts, making it important for policymakers to monitor and control inflation through a range of measures.


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Inflation is cooling — but many items aren’t cheaper. Here’s why

CNN

23-05-10 14:38


Inflation remains high despite moderating from last year, partly fueled by the pandemic, but is affecting consumers in differing ways - vegans may have dodged the soaring cost of eggs this year, but may have had to face price increases in margarine. If you are struggling financially, inflation impacts you more, particularly if mandatory expenses like fuel, childcare or food take up a larger proportion of your income. The cost of services has been the "most persistent" area of inflation, and while the US Fed raised interest rates to tackle inflation, hikes had little effect on service prices.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/10/business/inflation-price-increases-explained/index.html
Egypt's annual core inflation eases to 38.6% in April -c.bank

Reuters

23-05-10 14:15


Egypt's annual core inflation rate dropped from 39.5% in March to 38.6% in April, according to data released by the central bank. Month on month, it fell from 2.5% to 1.7%.

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/egypts-annual-core-inflation-eases-386-april-cbank-2023-05-10/
Turkey's economy faces 'lost year' no matter who wins election, insiders say

Reuters

23-05-10 14:08


Whoever wins Turkey's landmark election on Sunday, the country is expecting a "lost year" for its economy, insiders say. The main opposition alliance, which is ahead in some opinion polls, has pledged to free the economy and financial markets from state controls and to allow the central bank to raise interest rates. Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ruling party will continue with its low-rate, high-growth programme, as it seeks to manage inflation, which has reached 44% and depleted foreign exchange reserves. The election is likely to spark financial market volatility.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkeys-economy-faces-lost-year-no-matter-who-wins-election-insiders-say-2023-05-10/
Gulf stock markets end mixed; Egypt gains

Reuters

23-05-10 13:49


Most stock markets in the Gulf showed little movement on Wednesday following mixed corporate earnings, while Egyptian shares gained by 1%. The Saudi index was down 0.1%, recovering from a more substantial dip earlier in the day as shares in Saudi Electricity Company plummeted by 6.1%, due to lower-than-anticipated earnings. The Qatari benchmark was down 0.2%, while the Dubai index gained 0.1% thanks to a 1.2% rise in Dubai Electricity and Water Authority. US consumer price data was published after the closure of Gulf markets.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/gulf-stock-markets-end-mixed-egypt-gains-2023-05-10/
‘The Fed has more room to keep rates on hold’: How markets and economists are reacting to today’s U.S. inflation report

The Globe and Mail

23-05-10 13:23


US stocks have risen and bond yields and the dollar fell following a lower-than-expected inflation reading from the US Labor Department. The first headline fall in inflation below 5% for two years caused bond market futures tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate to rise. Traders now predict a 90% chance of rates staying at the current 5%-5.25% level in June, up from 80% before the announcement. Credit markets believe a full 75 basis points of easing by year-end is on the horizon. In contrast, the Bank of Canada's swaps market predicts equal odds of a 25 basis point cut or no move at all.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-the-fed-has-more-room-to-keep-rates-on-hold-how-markets-and-economists/