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美国和中国外交政策官员在本周末的全球安全会议上强调,不希望出现新的冷战。
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美国官员警告说,中国可能正准备向俄罗斯提供武器和弹药,用于其对乌克兰的战争。
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冷战中,美国、苏联和中国将军事资源倾注于代理战争。
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在乌克兰战争的过程中,中国没有向俄罗斯提供任何物质援助。
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拜登总统已经警告习近平,任何参战的举动都会产生深远的影响。
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如果中国参战,这将成为一场划时代的斗争,涉及3个最大的超级大国及其对立面的伙伴。
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俄罗斯、中国、伊朗和朝鲜将与美国、乌克兰及其欧洲和亚洲的盟友和伙伴结盟。
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这将包括日本和韩国。
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美国国务卿安东尼-布林肯在多种场合向中国发出警告
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拜登政府认为北京已接近于越界
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布林肯公开发表言论,试图劝阻中国不要这样做
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华盛顿和欧洲各国首都正在为俄罗斯在乌克兰的攻势做准备
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他们需要在这个冬天尽其所能,削弱俄罗斯突破乌克兰防御的机会
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布林肯与中国最高外交政策官员王毅进行了交涉
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告诉他,华盛顿认为中国 “正在考虑为俄罗斯在乌克兰的努力提供致命的支持”
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美国已经利用情报发现,试图阻止中国向俄罗斯提供军事援助。
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2022年3月,美国官员公开了俄罗斯要求中国提供援助的情报。
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这一披露发生在白宫国家安全顾问杰克-沙利文即将与中国外交政策最高官员杨洁篪会面之前。
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拜登政府迅速公开了解密的情报,试图阻止普京派兵前往。
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情报证明是准确的,但普京还是继续发动战争。
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国务卿安东尼-布林肯告诉记者,这些援助将包括武器和弹药。
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他还说,向俄罗斯提供援助的后果将对美中关系产生严重影响。
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美国一直在进行情报披露战略,以对抗中国与俄罗斯日益加深的关系。
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副总统卡马拉-哈里斯在一次演讲中警告中国不要支持俄罗斯。
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美国官员已经与盟友分享了情报。
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中国给予俄罗斯外交支持,并推动反美和反乌克兰的阴谋论。
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美国已经对违反对俄出口管制的中国公司实施了制裁。
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《华尔街日报》曾报道,俄罗斯军方仍能获得中国制造的商用无人机用于战争。
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由于双方关系处于低谷,美国对中国可打的好牌不多。
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因中国间谍气球进入美国大陆而爆发的危机使事情变得更糟。
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布林肯和王毅在气球事件上发生了冲突,并更广泛地说,“美国正在使用一切手段来封锁和压制中国”。
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北京清华大学国际关系学教授Xing Yue说,紧张局势在夏季之前可能不会缓解。
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中国和西方国家之间的关系可能会受到中美之间紧张局势的影响。
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与美国结盟的其他国家在周末自己的讲话中也提到了侵犯气球的行为。
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日本外相林义正提到了在日本领空看到的气球状飞行物,中国和俄罗斯在日本附近的联合军事演习,以及中国在尖阁群岛周围的侵略性海上行动。
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中国和美国之间的紧张关系可能会对中国和其他西方国家之间的关系产生深远的影响。
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王毅一直在访问欧洲,与其他外交官讨论中国、俄罗斯和乌克兰战争。
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法国欧洲和外交事务部长凯瑟琳-科隆纳说,双方就俄罗斯在乌克兰的侵略战争进行了 “扎实的讨论”。
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意大利外交部长安东尼奥-塔贾尼说,王先生告诉他,习近平先生计划在未来几天就这场战争发表 “和平讲话”。
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美国官员和一些欧洲官员对中国官员似乎是一个中立的中间人持怀疑态度,并可能倾向于为俄罗斯的战争努力提供物质援助。
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大西洋理事会研究员巴里-帕维尔在一篇网上文章中说,习近平先生讲话的消息 “非常令人不安”,因为中国正在考虑向普京提供致命的支持,以及 "和平计划 "可能采取什么形式。
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外交官一直在与王先生讨论中国、俄罗斯和乌克兰战争的问题。
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习近平先生正准备在未来几天就这场战争发表 “和平讲话”,但美国官员和一些欧洲官员对中国的中立性持怀疑态度。
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巴里-帕维尔对中国可能向普京提供的致命支持以及 "和平计划 "可能采取的形式表示关切。
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U.S. and Chinese foreign policy officials at the global security conference this weekend stressed that a new Cold War was not desired.
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U.S. officials warned that China may be preparing to give weapons and ammunition to Russia for its war on Ukraine.
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The Cold War involved the U.S., Soviet Union, and China pouring military resources into proxy wars.
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China has not given any material aid to Russia over the course of the war in Ukraine.
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President Biden has warned Xi Jinping that any move to enter the war would have far-reaching consequences.
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If China enters the war, it would become an epochal struggle involving the 3 largest superpowers and their partners on opposing sides.
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Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea would be aligned against the U.S., Ukraine, and their European and Asian allies and partners.
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This would include Japan and South Korea.
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Antony J. Blinken, US Secretary of State, issued warnings to China in multiple settings
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Biden administration believes Beijing is close to crossing the line
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Blinken spoke out publicly to try and dissuade China from doing so
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Washington and European capitals are bracing for Russian offensive in Ukraine
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Need to do everything they can this winter to blunt Russia’s chances of breaking through Ukrainian defenses
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Blinken confronted China’s top foreign policy official, Wang Yi
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Told him Washington believed China was “considering providing lethal support to Russia in its efforts in Ukraine”
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The United States has used intelligence findings to try to discourage China from giving Russia military aid.
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In March 2022, U.S. officials made public the intelligence that Russia had asked China for aid.
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This disclosure took place just before Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, was to meet with Yang Jiechi, China’s top foreign policy official.
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The Biden administration quickly made public declassified intelligence to try to deter Putin from sending in his troops.
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The intelligence proved accurate, but Putin went ahead with his war.
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Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters that the aid would consist of weapons and ammunition.
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He also said that the consequences of providing aid to Russia would have serious implications for the U.S.-China relationship.
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The United States has been engaging in a strategy of intelligence disclosure to counter China’s deepening ties with Russia.
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Vice President Kamala Harris warned China against supporting Russia in a speech.
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U.S. officials have shared intelligence with allies.
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China has given Russia diplomatic support and pushed anti-American and anti-Ukrainian conspiracy theories.
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The U.S. has imposed sanctions on Chinese companies for violating export controls against Russia.
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The Wall Street Journal has reported that the Russian military is still able to get Chinese-made commercial drones for the war.
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The U.S. has few good cards to play with China due to the low point their relations are at.
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The crisis that erupted over the Chinese spy balloon entering the continental U.S. has made matters worse.
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Mr. Blinken and Mr. Wang clashed over the balloon episode, and said more broadly that “the United States is using all means to block and suppress China”.
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Xing Yue, a professor of international relations at Tsinghua University in Beijing, said the tensions might not ease before summer.
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Relations between China and Western countries could be impacted by the tensions between China and the U.S.
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Other nations allied with the U.S. have mentioned balloon violations in their own remarks over the weekend.
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Japan’s Foreign Minister, Yoshimasa Hayashi, mentioned balloon-shaped flying objects seen in Japanese airspace, Chinese and Russian joint military exercises close to Japan and China’s aggressive maritime actions around the Senkaku Islands.
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The tensions between China and the U.S. could have far-reaching implications for the relationship between China and other Western countries.
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Mr. Wang, a diplomat, has been visiting Europe and discussing China, Russia and the Ukraine war with other diplomats.
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Catherine Colonna, the French minister for Europe and foreign affairs, said there was “solid discussion” on Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine.
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Antonio Tajani, Italy’s foreign minister, said Mr. Wang had told him Mr. Xi plans to make a “peace speech” on the war in the coming days.
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U.S. officials and some European officials are skeptical of Chinese officials appearing to be a neutral broker and may be edging toward giving material aid to the Russian war effort.
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Barry Pavel, a fellow at the Atlantic Council, said in an online post that news of Mr. Xi’s speech is “very troubling” as China is considering lethal support to Putin and what form the “peace plan” may take.
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Diplomats have been discussing China, Russia and the Ukraine war with Mr. Wang.
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Mr. Xi is preparing a “peace speech” on the war in the coming days, but U.S. officials and some European officials are skeptical of China’s neutrality.
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Barry Pavel is concerned about China’s potential for lethal support to Putin and what form the “peace plan” may take.
链接:https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/19/world/europe/us-china-weapons-russia-ukraine.html