Interest Rates (6do encyclopedia)



Interest rates refer to the amount charged or paid for the use of money over a specified period. They influence different aspects of the financial sector, including borrowers, lenders, investors, and government. There are many types of interest rates, such as the federal funds rate, prime rate, LIBOR, and mortgage rates. These rates play a crucial role in the global economy and are used to gauge inflation, monetary policy, and business operations.

Types of Interest Rates

The Federal Funds Rate

The federal funds rate, or FFR, is the rate at which banks lend reserve balances to each other overnight. The Federal Reserve sets the target for this rate, which is used as a benchmark to determine other short-term rates such as the prime rate. The FFR influences the amount of money in circulation and adjusts the supply of money to stimulate or cool down the economy.

Prime Rate

The prime rate is the rate that banks charge their most creditworthy customers for loans, and it is typically used to establish rates for business loans, credit cards, and personal loans. This rate is influenced by the federal funds rate but is usually a few percentage points higher.

LIBOR

The London Interbank Offered Rate, or LIBOR, is the rate that international banks charge each other for short-term loans. It is a benchmark for determining the interest rates on most adjustable-rate loans such as mortgages and student loans. However, it will be phased out by the end of 2021.

Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates are the interest rates charged on home loans. They vary depending on the borrower’s credit score, down payment, and loan term. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most common type of loan, and it is influenced by various economic indicators, such as inflation, GDP, and the bond market.

How Interest Rates Affect the Economy

Monetary Policy

Interest rates are a crucial part of the monetary policy that governments use to manage the economy. Central banks, such as the US Federal Reserve, set rates to adjust the money supply and influence inflation. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, which leads to less spending and lowers inflation. Lower rates make borrowing cheaper, stimulating spending, and increasing inflation.

Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general price level of goods and services rises over time. Interest rates can influence inflation, which, in turn, affects the economy. High interest rates tend to lower inflation because they make borrowing expensive, thereby reducing consumer and business spending. Low interest rates, on the other hand, can increase inflation by making borrowing cheaper, leading to higher spending.

Business Operations

Interest rates can affect the success of businesses in many ways. Higher rates increase the cost of borrowing for businesses, which can reduce investment and affect economic growth. Lower rates can make borrowing cheaper, stimulating business growth in different sectors of the economy.

Investors

Interest rates can also affect how investors allocate their funds. High rates make fixed-income investments, such as bonds and savings accounts, more attractive, while stocks may lose value. Lower rates may stimulate investors to put more money into stocks, leading to stock market growth and subsequent economic activity.

Real Estate

Real estate is a key sector that is influenced by interest rates. When rates are low, taking out a mortgage becomes more affordable, increasing demand for housing, which, in turn, can lead to higher home prices. Higher rates may lower demand, reducing home prices and affecting the construction industry.

Conclusion

Interest rates play a vital role in the global economy, affecting numerous aspects of financial transactions. The central banks in different countries adjust rates to regulate inflation and stimulate economic growth. The types of interest rates include the federal funds rate, prime rate, LIBOR, and mortgage rates. Understanding their impact on inflation, business operations, investment, and real estate can help individuals make better financial decisions.


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Little progress has been made in curbing too high inflation, Fed's Jefferson says

The Independent

23-05-13 00:35


US Federal Reserve Governor Philip Jefferson has said that inflation remains “too high" and that little progress has been made in reducing it to the central bank's target of 2%. Core inflation has been stuck within 0.3%-0.5%, “where you’d really like it to be moving down and in concert with our target," according to Tom Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Jefferson has been nominated by President Joe Biden to become vice-chair of the Fed, which would give him greater influence over interest rates.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/ap-fed-joe-biden-jerome-powell-washington-b2338056.html
A new generation of homeowners is now just paying rent to the bank

Telegraph

23-05-12 13:16


Millions of UK households will see their fixed-rate mortgage deals expire this year. Most borrowers coming off their fixed-rate deals will remain with their lender, rather than moving to a new provider and negotiating a new deal and affordability checks, which may prevent them from accessing the top rates. However, not all mortgage borrowers have the option to switch and become trapped in deals. High rates will become an effective rent to the bank as a generation of homeowners is paying vast amounts in mortgages. For these homeowners, the rising rates mean that what was a dream of owning a house has become a nightmare, ruining their lives. The Secret Landlord's anonymous monthly column offers a real-world perspective on the UK's property market.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/personal-banking/mortgages/new-generation-homeowners-paying-rent-bank/
RBA’s Lowe agrees to consult lifelines as distress calls surge amid interest rate rises

The Age

23-05-12 08:39


The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will consult regularly with suicide prevention groups as a surge in distress calls have been attributed to the cost-of-living pressures contributed by interest rate rises and high inflation. An RBA meeting with Suicide Prevention Australia said the community’s mental wellbeing and safety were of central importance. Nearly half of Australians said they had increased cost-of-living pressures. Suicide Prevention Australia wants to see how the government will address mental health systems which have become "unaffordable and inaccessible". The government's recent budget did not include investment in frontline suicide prevention services.

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/rba-s-lowe-agrees-to-consult-lifelines-as-distress-calls-surge-amid-interest-rate-rises-20230512-p5d7xf.html
Ministers must avoid the whiff of defeatism

Telegraph

23-05-11 22:00


The UK will have to work harder to secure economic growth now the era of free money is over and it can no longer rely on low interest rates and monetary measures to create an illusion of prosperity, according to an op-ed in The Telegraph. Meanwhile, the nation's economy has become increasingly burdened with red tape that has grown since Brexit, leading to increasing concern over economic strategy. The piece suggests that the UK government needs to do more to create conditions that are attractive for businesses. However, the prime minister's decision to reduce the ambitions of the Retained EU Law Bill suggests that the government is lacking in grip over the machinery of state, it adds.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2023/05/11/ministers-must-avoid-the-whiff-of-defeatism/
UK to avoid recession but inflation easing slower than hoped, says BoE

The Independent

23-05-11 19:44


The Bank of England has predicted that the UK will avoid a recession this year but that inflation will fall slower than hoped. The bank raised interest rates by 0.25% to their highest level since 2008 in a bid to reduce stubbornly high inflation. It projects that the country’s gross domestic product will be flat in the first half of 2019, with growth of 0.9% by the middle of 2024, and 0.7% by mid-2025. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 in favour of raising interest rates to 4.5%.

https://www.independent.co.uk/independentpremium/business/bank-of-england-inflation-target-mpc-forecast-b2337274.html
US debt woes could trigger a return to favour for fund manager specialising in emerging markets

Telegraph

23-05-16 06:00


Emerging markets-focused asset manager Ashmore is being tipped to return to favour, with a share price currently languishing at 234.4p, compared to 2020's peak of 570p and a peak of investments under management of $94.4bn in June 2021. Factors that dragged Ashmore's shares down include: a trend towards growth and technology rather than emerging markets; economic uncertainty and the Ukrainian conflict damping sentiment; and Ashmore's own investments performing below customers' expectations. However, a return to favour for emerging markets, plus scarcity in the debt market, could be a catalyst for Ashmore and the areas in which it invests, according to Questor.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/investing/shares/us-debt-woes-could-trigger-a-return-to-favour-for-fund/
Foreign Investors Miss Out on Best China Bond Rally of 2023

Bloomberg

23-05-16 04:30


Foreign investors sold Chinese bonds on a net basis in April in all market sectors except policy financial bonds, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data released by China Central Depository & Clearing and Shanghai Clearing House. Frequent selling by foreign investors has been spurred by lower yields for Chinese debt compared to global counterparts and fears that the economy's rebound will reduce the demand for Chinese bonds; total foreign positions fell by CNY 171bn ($24.8bn) in the year to April. Citigroup previously downgraded China bonds to underweight, but last week modified its position to neutral.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-16/foreign-investors-miss-out-on-best-china-bond-rally-of-2023?srnd=next-china
European Stocks Drop as US Debt Ceiling, Soft China Data Eyed

Bloomberg

23-05-16 07:03


European equities slipped by 0.3% on 15 May following two days of gains, as China's economy slowed down and investors await a potential resolution to the US debt ceiling. Miners and telecoms declined, however, technology and utilities outperformed. Investors have recently been monitoring earnings releases, as well as the risk of higher-for-longer central bank interest rates and a potential US debt crisis. The Stoxx Europe 600 has been trading within a narrow range this month.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-16/european-stocks-drop-as-us-debt-ceiling-soft-china-data-eyed?srnd=next-china
US debt woes could trigger a return to favour for fund manager specialising in emerging markets

Telegraph

23-05-16 06:00


Emerging markets-focused asset manager Ashmore is being tipped to return to favour, with a share price currently languishing at 234.4p, compared to 2020's peak of 570p and a peak of investments under management of $94.4bn in June 2021. Factors that dragged Ashmore's shares down include: a trend towards growth and technology rather than emerging markets; economic uncertainty and the Ukrainian conflict damping sentiment; and Ashmore's own investments performing below customers' expectations. However, a return to favour for emerging markets, plus scarcity in the debt market, could be a catalyst for Ashmore and the areas in which it invests, according to Questor.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/investing/shares/us-debt-woes-could-trigger-a-return-to-favour-for-fund/
Households yet to feel the full sting of RBA interest rate hikes

The Age

23-05-16 19:05


Australian households are taking longer than usual to feel the full effect of 11 official rate hikes by the Reserve Bank over the past year, according to The Sydney Morning Herald. The pass-through of higher interest rates to the household sector as a whole has been unusually drawn-out, with households expected to feel more of the pinch over the next six to 12 months. Economists fear the delays mean it will take longer to determine just how severe the impact of interest rate rises is on households and the wider economy.

https://www.theage.com.au/money/borrowing/households-yet-to-feel-the-full-sting-of-rba-interest-rate-hikes-20230511-p5d7re.html
Alarming number of young people can’t afford to save for a house

The Sydney Morning Herald

23-05-17 19:00


Only 11% of aspiring first-time buyers in Australia are likely to achieve home ownership following rapid price growth fuelled by lower interest rates, population growth and low levels of building activity over the last 23 years, according to research by the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute. Even purchases on low deposits shared between two buyers will not give most young Australians access to the market, the study indicates. Negative gearing and capital gains policies are among the factors blamed for keeping prices high, while experts say resolving the issue will involve painful solutions such as tax reforms.

https://www.smh.com.au/property/news/ongoing-crisis-alarming-share-of-young-people-can-t-afford-to-save-for-a-house-20230517-p5d948.html
‘Ongoing crisis’: Alarming share of young people can’t afford to save for a house

The Age

23-05-17 19:00


A new study has revealed that over 90% of potential first-time home buyers in Australia are unable to get on the property ladder as a result of a 25-year structural decline in interest rates, rising property prices, lack of housing supply, and population growth. The report from the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI) warned that tax reforms and other changes may be needed to address affordability, with Australia’s home ownership rate dropping from 71% to 66% over the past quarter century.

https://www.theage.com.au/property/news/ongoing-crisis-alarming-share-of-young-people-can-t-afford-to-save-for-a-house-20230517-p5d948.html
Unemployment rate rises to 3.7 per cent

The Sydney Morning Herald

23-05-18 02:37


Australia's unemployment rate increased to 3.7% in April, up 0.1 percentage points, which could lead to the Reserve Bank reconsidering another interest rate rise next month. The numbers are higher than the RBA's forecast of 3.6% for June and come as the Australian Bureau of Statistics reports a 2.6% increase in monthly hours worked over the last six months. Job market conditions are expected to soften throughout the year, but the rise in hours worked could indicate that the demand for labour is still high, says Oxford Economics Australia. Wage growth has also remained consistent with inflation reaching 7% at the turn of the year.

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/unemployment-rate-rises-to-3-7-per-cent-20230518-p5d9aq.html
‘Vicious feedback loop’: The Bank of Canada hiked rates to push inflation down — but it’s also driving inflation up

The Toronto Star

23-05-18 09:00


Statistics Canada has warned sticky inflation could be difficult to manage with rising mortgage costs, as more Canadians renew their mortgages at higher interest rates. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 4.44% higher than it was a year ago, with mortgage interest and rent being the main driving contributors. As mortgage costs are slowly filtered into the CPI, they will continue to be included in inflation, discouraging the country's central bank from lowering interest rates. Ron Butler, a mortgage broker, said that if the Bank of Canada was to increase the prime rate by another 25 basis points "it would drive up mortgage costs further and we'd be in the exact same situation". Another factor contributing to the sticky inflation is the extending of amortization periods by homeowners, which keeps monthly costs in check but comes with high-interest rates for a more extended period.

https://www.thestar.com/business/2023/05/18/mortgage-costs-jump-28-per-cent-in-april-driving-an-inflation-feedback-loop.html
Landlords hit by jump in repossessions as interest rates surge

Telegraph

23-05-18 14:10


Buy-to-let landlords have seen repossessions of properties rise by 28% in Q1 2023, to total 410, while a tally of landlords facing mortgage payment arrears rose 16% to 7,030, hitting the highest level since the pandemic began. Red tape, higher taxes and rising interest rates have squeezed the market, with landlords now unable to offset mortgage payments against taxes on rental income. A government order to insulate and refurbish properties to meet net zero targets has added to landlords' costs. Home repossessions are also rising, up 50% to 750 in Q1 2023, the highest level since Q1 2020.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/05/18/landlords-repossessions-interest-rates-default-mortgage/
The truth about 'green' mortgages, the net zero product for energy efficient homes

Telegraph

23-05-18 13:00


Green mortgages are being offered by some UK banks in a bid to encourage homeowners to make their homes more energy efficient, aiming to achieve the target of hitting net zero emissions by 2050. However, rates attached to such mortgages are not always cheaper than the standard offering. Only a handful of banks and building societies provide green mortgages, including Barclays, Halifax, Nationwide and NatWest. Green mortgages tend to be cheaper than standard products, although they are not considered to be cheaper than the market-leading products. Energy efficiency measures' cost tend to be expensive, but they provide long term savings and a higher EPC rating can also lead to added property values. Recently, rules were introduced for landlords to improve energy efficiency in their homes to a minimum C rating by 2028.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/personal-banking/mortgages/green-mortgages-buyers-energy-efficient-property/
New homeowners won’t enjoy same house price surge as their parents, says OBR economist

Telegraph

23-05-18 12:30


A senior economist at the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility has said that the “age of massive rises of house prices may be nearing an end” and suggested that this will lessen the economic boost for retired homeowners, who have proven to be financially efficient using their homes. David Miles, speaking at the University of Birmingham, cited slowing population growth, rising interest rates and an increase in working from home as contributing factors in the slowing growth of house prices. Additionally, he said housing was likely to be more plentiful in the coming decades with increased construction.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/05/18/massive-house-prices-rises-may-be-nearing-an-end/
Spike in mortgage arrears and repossessions as interest rates soar

The Independent

23-05-18 11:03


The number of UK mortgage holders in arrears plus the amount of repossessions increased in Q1 2023, according to UK Finance. There were 76,630 mortgages in arrears of 2.5% or more of the outstanding balance in Q1 2023, up 2% on the previous quarter. Meanwhile, there was a 50% increase in the number of mortgages being repossessed compared with the previous three months. Some 750 homeowner-mortgaged properties were taken into possession in the period.

https://www.independent.co.uk/money/mortgages-homes-repossessed-interest-rates-b2341343.html
The tide is turning in favour of the bond market

Telegraph

23-05-18 11:00


The bond market is approaching a turning point and is offering opportunities to investors following a difficult 2018, stakeholders have said. Investors have suggested that in 2019 higher yields will provide a tailwind for those in the industry and benefit over bonds and shares, while rising default risks make high yield bonds a risk this year. For investors seeking options that lock in income with minimal default risk, longer-terms deals issued by blue chip US and European companies offer, respectively, more than 5% and 8% interest rates.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/05/18/the-bond-market-could-be-set-to-soar-in-2023/